|A study by Patrick Carroll
in 2007 found that if a woman had had an abortion, that was - what he
called - the "best predictor" of future breast cancer. He listed 7 factors
which predicted breast cancer but abortion was the strongest predictor, he
wrote in the article, "The Breast Cancer Epidemic" published in the
"Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons" (J Am Phys
Surg Vol. 12, No. 3 (Fall 2007) 72-78.).
The UK and other
countries with a high abortion rate, could expect a greater increase in
breast cancer in women when they reached menopause or peri-menopause and
those with a lower rate of abortion (like Ireland) would probably not show
much of an increase in the incidence of breast cancer.
Dr Carroll, felt his data was not flawed since it was medical data from
countries which kept this on file, rather than "self reported".
Women following a career, often postponed kids and they found they were
pregnant, had abortions, thus aborting before the birth of their first
child. (Assuming no complications from the abortion as seen in 25%
of patients and that they could have kids, these women still had a higher
risk of coming down with breast cancer, Dr Carroll found)
As reported in 2007 by the Coalition on Abortion/Breast Cancer, a
research group and reprinted under title 17, fair use:
Coalition on Abortion/Breast Cancer
Contact: Karen Malec, 847-421-4000
Date: October 3, 2007
New Study Shows 'Best Predictor of Breast Cancer'
The Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons published a study
yesterday entitled, "The Breast Cancer Epidemic." It showed that, among
seven risk factors, abortion is the "best predictor of breast cancer,"
and fertility is also a useful predictor. 
The study by Patrick Carroll of PAPRI in London showed that countries
with higher abortion rates, such as England & Wales, could expect a
substantial increase in breast cancer incidence. Where abortion rates
are low (i.e., Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic) a smaller
increase is expected. Where a decline in abortion has taken place,
(i.e., Denmark and Finland) a decline in breast cancer is anticipated.
Carroll used the same mathematical model for a previous forecast of
numbers of breast cancers in future years for England & Wales based on
cancer data up to 1997 that has proved quite accurate for predicting
cancers observed in years 1998 to 2004. 
In four countries - England & Wales, Scotland, Finland and Denmark - a
social gradient has been discovered (unlike that for other cancers)
whereby upper class and upwardly mobile women have more breast cancer
than lower class women. This was studied in Finland and Denmark and the
influence of known risk factors other than abortion was examined, but
the gradient was not explained.
Carroll suggests that the known preference for abortion in this class
might explain the phenomenon. Women pursuing higher educations and
professional careers often delay marriage and childbearing. Abortions
before the birth of a first child are highly carcinogenic.
Carroll used national data from nations believed to have "nearly
complete abortion counts." Therefore, his study is not affected by
"It's time for scientists to admit publicly what they already
acknowledge privately among themselves [3,4] - that abortion raises
breast cancer risk - and to stop conducting flawed research to protect
the medical establishment from massive medical practice lawsuits," said
Karen Malec, president of the Coalition on Abortion/Breast Cancer. See
discussions of flawed research. [5,6,7,8,9,10]
Carroll can be contacted at: +44 (0) 20-7354-5667.
The Coalition on Abortion/Breast Cancer is an international women's
organization founded to protect the health and save the lives of women
by educating and providing information on abortion as a risk factor for
1. Carroll, P. The breast cancer epidemic: modeling and forecasts based
on abortion and other risk factors." J Am Phys Surg Vol. 12, No. 3 (Fall
2007) 72-78. Available at:
2. Carroll P. Pregnancy Related Risk Factors in Female Breast Cancer
Incidence. International Congress of Actuaries, Transactions
3. See several editions of authoritative medical text used by breast
disease specialists: Robert B. Dickson, Ph.D., Marc E. Lippman, MD,
"Growth Regulation of Normal and Malignant Breast Epithelium," The
Breast: Comprehensive Management of Benign and Malignant Diseases,
edited by Kirby I. Bland MD and Edward M. Copeland III, MD; (1998) W.B.
Saunders Company; 2nd edition; Vol 1, p.519.
4. In a California lawsuit, Bernardo v. Planned Parenthood Federation of
America, Inc., three women sued Planned Parenthood for falsely
advertising the alleged safety of abortion. Angela Lanfranchi, M.D.,
Clinical Associate Professor of Surgery at the Robert Wood Johnson
Medical Center, declared under oath that she has had conversations with
members of the nation's medical elite who admit that abortion causes
breast cancer. However, they refuse to discuss it publicly because it is
'too political.' See her statement at:
5. Brind J. Induced Abortion and Breast Cancer Risk: A Critical Analysis
of the Report of the Harvard Nurses Study II. Journal of American
Physicians and Surgeons (Summer 2007) Vol. 12, No. 2, p. 38-39.
6. Brind J. Induced abortion as an independent risk factor for breast
cancer: A critical review of recent studies based on prospective data. J
Am Phys Surg Vol. 10, No. 4 (Winter 2005) 105-110. Available at:
7. Brind J. Letter. Int J Cancer 2007; in press.
8. Lanfranchi A. The abortion-breast cancer link revisited. Ethics and
Medics (November 2004) Vol. 29, No. 11, p. 1-4. Available at:
9. Furton E. Editorial. The corruption of science by ideology. Ethics
and Medics (Dec. 2004) Vol. 29, No. 11, p. 1-2. Available at:
10. Schlafly A. Legal implications of a link between abortion and breast
cancer. J Am Phys Surgeons 2005;10:11-14. Available at: